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    2010 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft… Round1

    Dec 7th, 2009 by winabango

    Well that certainly did not take long.  We are already through the first round of the Fantasy Gameday 2010 Mock draft.  In fact these guys are almost through the second round before I could even get a chance to post the results from the first one.  Nice work guys!!!  Here is how this is going to work.  You can follow the draft here, but at the end of each round I will post the results.  In these posts you may ask all the participants questions regarding their selection.  There is just one rule… DO NOT Criticize the picks.

    So here are the results for round 1…

    1. Harrell Kirstein - Hanley Ramirez - SS, FLA
    2. Rick Hoffman - Albert Pujols - 1B, STL
    3. Dennis Page - Miguel Cabrera - 1B, DET
    4. Dan Kercher - Carl Crawford - OF, TB
    5. Jim Halberg - Chase Utley - 2B, PHI
    6. Ed Taylor - Alex Rodriguez - 3B, NYY
    7. Brian Hoyle - Ryan Howard - 1B, PHI
    8. Nathan Peiffer - Ryan Braun - OF, MIL
    9. David Wilsher - Prince Fielder - 1B, MIL
    10. Yoram Batner - David Wright - 3B, NYM
    11. Tony Cincotta - Tim Lincecum - SP, SF
    12. Scott Gilroy - Mark Teixeira - 1B, NYY
    13. Tad Blooth - Matt Kemp - OF, LAD
    14. Ben Santos - Joe Mauer - C, MIN

    There are certainly some interesting findings in the first round.  I would be interested to know Dan’s reason for drafting Crawford as high as he did.  After I passed on Wright in the FBTM Slow Mock, it seems that these guys like him more than Mark Reynolds in 2010.  Does everyone shy away from Reynolds because of his strikeout rate?  In addition, it will be very interesting to see where tony goes next after selecting a pitcher in the first round.

    I am sure the most talked about aspect of the first round will be Hanley Ramirez going number one overall.  I completely agree with this pick.  Shortstop is such a shallow position this season that you will want to secure the best player early if you can.  Don’t get me wrong, Pujols is a complete monster, but since four other first basemen were taken by pick 12, that shows how deep that position is in 2010.

    give us your thoughts on the first round.  Do you like Hanley at #1?  If not, give your best case for another player to be picked there.

    Posted in Fantasy Baseball, Baseball - SP, Baseball - C, Baseball - 1B, Baseball - SS, Baseball - 3B, 2010 Mock Drafts, 2010 Fantasy Baseball | 14 Comments

    14 Comments to “2010 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft… Round1”
    1. on 07 Dec 2009 at 7:57 pm#1Ed

      I was really surprised that A-Rod fell to me at 6. I would have thought he’d be top 3 again. 30 Hr/ 100 RBI/ 100 runs in a down year- imagine what 150+ games will do. Sure, he’s at the early part of the decline, but the track record is there.

    2. on 07 Dec 2009 at 8:19 pm#2Ivar Anderson

      I have no problem with Hanley as the first pick, although I probably would have taken Pujols. A-Rod at six was a steal for Ed, and I personally would have taken Miggy exactly where he went, as I see him as a 4 category performer. I assume Dan covets speed which is why he went after Crawford at #4.

      I’d be interested in Yoram’s reasoning behind the Wright pick; does he think last year’s production was an aberration and does he expect Wright’s power to resume? Also, I like Maurer at #14, but did Ben select him expecting the power to continue, and did the 2 catcher requirement sway his choice?

      I’ve been arguing with others that if you want Lincecum, you will have to select him early, and I note that Tony did just that. I’d ask Tony if he normally takes pitching in the first round, or does he feel that Lincecum is a difference maker significant enough to pass up some decidedly valuable offense.

      The five 1B picks in the first round are pretty safe, and after Pujols and Cabrera, I think are essentially interchangable, especially if Tex can ever figure out how to hit in April and early May. There’s some serious speed and speed/power players available for the second round and peeking ahead, I note that the drafters are taking full advantage. Overall, a good first round without many surprises. I’ll be interested to see how this draft plays out over the later rounds, especially with 14 teams.

    3. on 07 Dec 2009 at 8:23 pm#3Chuck Anderson

      I like Rodriguez for you Ed, especially with so many questions surrounding other 3B.
      Dan, if you can answer without giving too much away, are there players you will be gravitating towards considering the Crawford pick?

    4. on 07 Dec 2009 at 11:16 pm#4Jordan

      I agree there were few surprises, including the 5 1Bs who will probably go in most draft’s first rounds. Pujols and HanRam are consensus 1-2, and a case can be made for HanRam at #1 (though JRoll’s BABIP was abnormally low, and Tulo arguably outperformed him in the 2nd half). The question will be HanRam’s SBs if he bats 3rd… I’d also be curious about Dan’s follow-up to Craw. Conventional wisdom would dictate a power hitter but some strategies load up on commodities like speed. That’s risky IMO because it’s now easier to find speed than power.

      As for Lincecum, I think pitching may be “safer” this year than usual, though we all know the admonition about everyday vs every fifth day players (and the fragility of SPs… of course, tell that to people who drafted, say, Josh Hamilton in the first round last year). Still, there have been far more 1st round SP busts over the years, and you can find pitching gold deep into drafts. There’s also the question of Ws, which are upredictable even with offensive juggernauts like the Yankees, let alone the Giants…. I believe in trying to make first-round picks sure things, minimizing risk. Still, Lincecum is the ultimate upside pick—another “typical” year from him easily justifies a 1st round pick. But (without giving too much away), would you then focus on hitting exclusively for several rounds (unless a gem drops in your lap), Tony?

      ARod is an absolute steal IMO. Project his 2009 numbers over an entire season and it’s in line with all but his monster years—at a far scarcer position than 1B, with few “sure” things.

      It’s rather difficult commenting at this point without discussing players who haven’t been picked yet in depth; lots of sleeper first rounders (ie, guys who might produce like 1st rounders but are undervalued for one reason or another) coming up. I like Wright, but he IS a risk. The lineup still has question marks, and the Mets aren’t moving CitiField’s fences in (Wright barely cleared them on most of his dingers, but then again his HR% was too low to be explained simply by park dimensions, and it’s almost inconceivable that he won’t top last year’s RBI total regardless). Yoram, do you feel the need to grab a 2nd-round slugger just in case Wright’s power outage is real? And did you consider that Wright might fall back to you in the 2nd? Prelim rankings from various sites thus far are all over the place, from 6-25…

      Another potential steal is Kemp. He has his own freeswinging issues, and Torre’s propensity to dicker unpredictably with his lineup could still rear its ugly head, but you can’t ignore his steady improvement. People forget the OF can get thin if your league plays 5, so grabbing a potential 30/30/100/100/.300 stud at 13 is remarkable.

      But again, IMO it’s too early to comment. And asking questions after the first round might force everyone to reveal sneaky strategy :-)

    5. on 08 Dec 2009 at 12:08 am#5Ben

      I actually think catcher is pretty deep in the late rounds this year, much more so than in years past, but for me, the question at pick 14 was essentially between Longoria and Mauer, and Evan’s numbers last year just weren’t solid enough month to month, his babip was all over the place. Mauer, on the other hand, was consistently spectacular month to month last year, and even with a drop in power, seems like a better bet than Evan.
      ARod at #6 could be the steal of the early rounds.

    6. on 08 Dec 2009 at 7:53 am#6Scott Yerbic

      You can’t go wrong with selecting Albert or Hanley #1. After that, anyone could go anywhere. Cabrera and Crawford went earlier and Lincecum went later than I thought. I am curious to see who Dan selects in Rnd 2 to go with Crawford. Kemp could definitely be a sleeper and if Manny stays healthy and our of trouble, Kemp could have a monster year. Wright is also an interesting pick but could turn out nice if the Mets stay healthy. He has no guarantee on who will give him support this year but I still project him to have a decent season. Overall the 1st round is very good and look forward to seeing what happens in Rnd 2.

    7. on 08 Dec 2009 at 8:00 am#7Scott Yerbic

      Ben__Great pick by Mauer. I am high on him and think he will continue where he left off in 2009. After Mauer I think production drops off quite a bit and then you have a pool of catchers that are all similiar. You definitely have a leg up on the catcher position. Lets see who you draft to go along with Mauer. Good pick.

    8. on 08 Dec 2009 at 1:34 pm#8Nathan Peiffer

      I was very pleased to be able to draft Ryan Braun at 8. I was actually planning on taking Matt Kemp, Evan Longoria or Joe Mauer at this spot, but I could not pass on Ryan Braun. I do however feel like Kemp could potentially out produce Ryan Braun.

      I do agree on taking Hanley Ramirez first overall. Just based on his position scarcity and he is so far ahead of his competition at SS. Pujols is without a doubt amazing, but 1st base is so stacked this year.

    9. on 08 Dec 2009 at 7:10 pm#9Jordan

      Don’t know if you want us to continue commenting here, or if you’re gonna create a post for each round, Kelly.

      Interesting 2nd round. I really like the Grady and Upton picks for upside at the end. Grady’s #s prorated over a full season correlate with his usual line, save for BA, but he was quite unlucky as his BABIP indicated; he should be healthy with something to prove. Upton could well be a 30/30 guy though he’s still undisciplined…

      I wondered when the next SP would go. Felix could really be elite: great stuff, still incredibly young, improving Seattle team with great D. How many of the managers hold off as long as possible to pluck SPs? And do the Lincecum and Felix owners hold off on picking another SP for a while once they have their staff ace?

      I wonder if any of those who took 1B (other than Albert, LOL) will end up second-guessing themselves, since the position’s so deep — guys like Morneau, Votto, A-Gone (and one or two others) might put up numbers that equal many of the first-rounders. Of course, I can’t quibble with those picks either, especially since IMO there’s really a logjam among the top 15-20 players.

      VMart’s a savvy pick in a 2-C league as well. Extremely dependable, just one off season, and you gotta love multi-eligibility.

      Kelly, feel free to move this if you start a second-round post :-)

    10. on 08 Dec 2009 at 9:30 pm#10Yoram

      I grabbed Wright at #10 because I think he will have a substantive rebound from last year. This is a player who, in his first 4 full seasons, hit 27, 26, 30 and 33 homeruns. Whatever happened to him last year, I just can’t believe he isn’t a legitimate 20+ home run hitter. He is just now 27 years old, is a career .309 hitter, and is pretty much a lock for 20+ stolen bases. Throw in the lack of depth at third base and I decided the upside was well worth the risk.

      @Jordan, I didn’t think Wright was likely to make it back to me. This is a 14 team draft so he would have had to have fallen to pick #19. I wanted him and so didn’t want to risk his being gone on the way back. As for taking a round 2 slugger… I went with speed instead and grabbed Jacoby Ellsbury. I decided that the appeal of 70-100 stolen bases out of the first 2 rounds was too good to pass up. I think there will opportunities for me to get some cheaper power down the draft board, but I’ll revisit my comments later as we see what happens.

    11. on 08 Dec 2009 at 9:32 pm#11Yoram

      Anyone else notice the run on first-basemen? Votto and Morneau will be filling corner infield slots, instead of firstbase slots. That’s going to make it very tough for those of us who haven’t got a top 28 pick at firstbase to compete there.

    12. on 08 Dec 2009 at 10:24 pm#12Chuck Anderson

      @Yoram - first base is becoming very interesting. I figured Votto would get a price hike but this exceeds my expectations, and it is in line with his spot in other drafts I have seen. Lee, Morales, and Berkman are still out there, so all is not lost.

    13. on 09 Dec 2009 at 6:11 am#13Yoram

      @Chuck, For sure not lost, but starting to dip into riskier territory. Still, Votto and Morneau come with their own risk factors so maybe it’ll all work out in the end. My second pick was 19th over-all and for me it would have been too great a reach to take Gonzlez, Votto or Morneau at that point.

    14. on 14 Dec 2009 at 11:59 am#14Randall Dean

      I like the Lincecum pick the best. Arod, at 6 is a steal. I guess My philosophy differs strongly, as I build a top pitching squad, and then fill in hitting later on in the draft. It seems to work out ok for me.
      Mauer may have been the steal of the round, and the Wright pick was a little early, but if he regains his power stroke it could be solid. I like Mark Reynolds better at 3b.

      Nice round though.

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