| 2012 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft - Round 3 Review |
| Written by Kelly Pfleiger | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wednesday, 04 January 2012 10:22 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
But what strategies should you use during the third round? During the third round, the core players are still being assembled, therefore, taking in account what positions you have already drafted is key. One sensible approach in the early rounds is to shore up positions you’re not confident you can fill in later rounds. If you’ve got a boat load of sleepers at OF but none at 3B, for example, you might want to use an early pick on Adrian Beltre or Ryan Zimmerman. Who was selected during the 3rd round of our annual Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft?
While I tend to be conservative during the first five rounds of a draft, two owners reached out for second year players; Brett Lawrie and Desmond Jennings. Neither player can be considered to be a sleeper, but it is way too early to select a second year player. The odds of them struggling are quite high. Exclusive ADPThis draft is part of our annual average draft position and scarcity reports. Be sure to check out our 2012 Average Draft Position and Scarcity Report.
But let’s look at them objectively. Brett Lawrie plays at a premier (and extremely shallow) position in Fantasy Baseball. While the hot corner is usually reserved for power hitters with limited mobility, Lawrie brings a speed element that is rare. He also showed signs of a decent approach at the plate (.373 OBP) with good power (.287 ISO) and a .293 batting average. I can complain all day long about selecting a player with only 171 plate appearances during the third round, however, with the dearth at third base, I understand why Brett Lawrie was selected. Desmond Jennings finally made it to the show in 2011, and certainly impressed with his performance. There are no questions regarding the long-term potential of Jennings. Statistically speaking, there is nothing that should deter anyone from drafting Desmond Jennings in 2012. In fact he “should” produce quite well as the leadoff hitter for the Rays. It’s the word “should” that bothers me. Brett Lawrie “should” be a top 5 third baseman. Desmond Jennings “should” be the next Carl Crawford. The fact is… They have not had enough plate appearances at the major league level for me to recommend drafting either of them during the third round of a 16-team draft. Shin-Soo Choo had a rough season in 2011 and managed to play in only 85 games. I will be honest; I thought he would have fallen deeper into the draft. Don’t get me wrong, I have no problem with where he was drafted. In a league with walks, Shin-Soo Choo has more value. After a crappy year, I was expecting him to be drafted around 50 spots later. This is why we do mock drafts.
After a disappointing 2010, Ben Zobrist returned to fantasy prominence in 2011. Even without the elite on base percentage (.353 in ’11 vs. .405 on ’09) Zobrist is one of the better selections at the second base position. I would look for another 20/20 season Ben Zobrist and the position flexibility (2B/OF) helps as well. I must admit, Scott did a nice job of assembling the core of his team with Jose Reyes, Mark Teixeira, and Ben Zobrist. Finally, I have no issues with any of the starting pitcher selected during this round. In fact, I still have an unhealthy man-crush on Timmy. You know… the kind of man-crush that allows me to call him by his first name. In 2011 Starlin Castro became the youngest player in Cubs history to reach 200 hits in a season. However, I still do not like him as a baseball player, and after a seven minute rant, Bobby Valentine agrees with me. Despite my dislike for how Castro plays the game, I am still on the fence regarding his Fantasy Baseball value. I was not overly impressed with his counting stats (10 HR, 22 SB), but the two straight seasons of hitting around the .300 mark increase his long term potential. Eh, I need to watch him more in 2012. 3 burning question for the third round
Bring on the comments…
|


Do you have strong opinions regarding baseball and/or football players?
Do you want a place to share your opinions and talk about your successes?
Are you interested in helping thousands of others to improve the Fantasy Sports Teams?
If so, we’d love to feature one or more of your articles even if you're new to writing, or contribute to another site.
We are always looking for new talent, why not you.
Comments
Knowing the guys drafting at the turn here, if Tim hadn't grabbed Lawrie when he did, he would most likely not have snagged him. I, though, agree that the third round is too early to take the risk on either Lawrie or Jennings. I am all about minimizing risk in the early rounds of any draft. Then again, I. Unread myself repeatedly last year with Stubbs and even worse, Dunn in the early (3-4) rounds, so take my advice with a block of salt.
Bobby Valentine needs to take a pill and relax. There are young players that need to mature (I'm lookin at you, Delmon Young) but this is just foolish.
Jennings and Lawrie are both very exciting players. Outside of a keeper league I won't be going anywhere near them with a top-50 pick. Both have the talent and opportunity to produce, but spending a top-50 pick means that these players have to produce at a very high level or they will be disappointments . I prefer to build some risk-aversion into my sophomores, which usually means they are selected long before I'm willing to take them.
There are other players that will provide a combination of power and speed. Adam Jones comes to mind. Add two Adam Jones type players with a Michael Bourn and you might end up in a abetter position with less risk of failure.
I want to be very clear, I am all in on Desmond Jennings being a top tier talent. I am very adverse to risk (unforeseen injuries excluded) in the first five rounds.
Desmond Jennings will also provide some value in the HR (12-18) & BB (65-75) departments in addition to his R & SB. If i drafted a Kemp/Upton/Gonzalez type with some speed prior, i wouldn't have gone the Jennings route. I did so to pair with Fielder
I don't mind the 100-15-60-50 potential ahead of Upton, Longoria, & Zobrist
Re: 3b, there were still solid options: Zimm, Arod, Sandoval, Aramis, & a healthy Youkilis - obviously some good choices & upside. What utter speed with power combos did i have left: Upton? Rollins? I like Upton but wanted the other peripherals
As far as Jennings and Lawrie they call it a sophomore slump for a reason...Geovanni Soto, Pedro Alvarez, Jason Heyward, Gordon Beckham.
Jennings and Lawrie are too raw for me. Two words: Jason Hayward.