| Tim Hudson Ailing Back - Should You be Concerned? |
| Written by Jeremy Tiermini |
| Thursday, 01 December 2011 14:27 |
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Technical StuffA quick anatomy lesson: you have 33 vertebrae that make up your spinal column and between most of these vertebrae, those that are not normally fused together (like in your tailbone), you have intervertebral discs. These discs act as a shock absorber between the vertebrae and have two basic parts: a softer, jelly-like center (the nucleus pulposus) and the outer fibrous shell (the annulus fibrosis). When the outer shell becomes damaged it can split, or herniated, which allows the jelly-like center to protrude out and compress against spinal nerves, potentially causing numbness or loss of strength in the lower back or down the legs. As a protective mechanism, muscle spasms can also occur; all of these would obviously limit a pitcher's effectiveness.
Good or Bad News?First and foremost, despite the surgical solution, this is good news for fantasy owners because the surgery occurred right now. The Atlanta Braves and Tim Hudson could have decided on a course of rest before resuming baseball workouts; surgery after that option would have threatened Hudson's availability / effectiveness for the first few months of the 2012 season. Despite dealing with his back issues, Hudson made 34 and 33 starts, respectively, over the past two seasons, posting WHIPs of 1.15 and 1.14. In fact, in 2011, Hudson posted his highest strikeout total since 2003 and his 6.6 K/9 ratio was his highest since the 6.9 he posted in 2001. A quick check of his velocity numbers over at Fangraphs shows that Hudson's velocity has dropped slightly over the last three seasons but, remember, he is 36-years old; a decrease in velocity is to be expected. Further research at Fangraphs shows all of the following stats falling into the "Good" range, as opposed to "Poor": ERA, BB/9, HR/9, BA Against, WHIP, and BABIP. All of these are good signs for Hudson heading into 2012.
Our Take on Tim HudsonHudson is the type of guy I love to own: he should come fairly cheaply and he will help you in 4 of the 5 standard roto categories, as long as you are realistic about his K-totals, since I do not expect Hudson to match his 2011 total of 158. As long as he does not suffer any setbacks during Spring Training expect the standard Hudson offering: 15-16 wins, 3.20 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 130 K's. Plug him in as your #3/4 starting pitcher in mixed leagues and focus your attention on the weaker areas of your roster.
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Comments
He could now trend towards the 6-month duration, leaving him out for June, as well...unless he is a guy I can grab for $1-2 and stash him on my DL I am going to leave him alone this year.