| FGD Readers Mock Draft No. 2 |
| Written by Ivar Anderson |
| Monday, 20 February 2012 00:00 |
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As I normally do, I will analyze the draft, and comment on picks I see as values, picks that maybe were reaches and the picks that make me go "Hmm." I will break the draft up into 3 substantially equal chunks, rounds 1-7, 8-15 and 16-23. Just as a point of reference, I tried out a new technique in this draft, something totally alien to me. I have an anathema for drafting pitchers early, so this mock I tested out a draft scenario where I took a SP in the second round, and then continued to take one pitcher every 3 picks thereafter. I didn't love my team when the draft was finished, but it wasn't horrible. The offense that I ended up with was adequate, but certainly I could have done better. No more early pitcher drafts for me. Rounds 1-7Aside from my pick of Kershaw in the second round (What? Not Verlander? No, he's being overvalued in the early mocks I have witnessed; despite his Cy Young 2011, I prefer the runner up or Doc Halladay), and yackmann's selection of Granderson at the end of the second, all went as expected in the first two rounds. Kinda surprised to see Halladay last until the third, and the selection of Hosmer and Lawrie strike me as slight reaches as their values are unproven, but based on ADPs, they went as necessary. I like the Desmond Jennings pick, despite the fact that he, too, is essentially unproven. I see him as a power/speed combination that should be targeted as an OF2. ARod in the mid fifth is a pick of faith-you have to believe he's gonna be healthy to make this selection, but then again, you have the same risk with Youklis who went 2 picks later to me. I am not sold on either Alex Gordon or Choo, who went in the 6th. Again, acts of faith, or gambles that either the success continues or there is a return to form. Josh Johnson in the 7th is also a huge risk/reward pick. Ian Kennedy, Michael Cuddyer and Adam Jones in the 7th strike me a good values. I couldn't let Ryan Howard pass me by at the end of the 7th (I got him in the 16th round recently, but with a computer picking here, I knew he wouldn't last that long). Rounds 8-15Now we get into the interesting section of the draft. My draft was skewed because of my experiment, but the rest of the picks will reveal interesting trends, if we examine the selection process. The 8th round revealed how much depth exists in starting pitching. Gallardo, Cain, Shields, Bumgarner, Kimbrel, Daniel Hudson and Wainwright are all high value pitchers. The 9th round, alternatively, revealed that there was still hitting depth available. C.J. Wilson and Beachy lasting until the 10th gives me hope for future drafts, assuring me that I can rely on my usual preferences to take pitchers later in drafts. Closers don't start to go en masse until the 11th round, and this trend continues through the 14th round. There is plenty of offense to populate the draft through the first 14 rounds. It is only when we get to the 15th round that some choices become dicer. I believe Francoeur, Trumbo, Cespedes and Carlos Lee all have potential to shine, but also could crash and burn. Rounds 16-23
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